3G countries or Global Growth Generators countries are 11 countries economies which have been identified as sources of growth potential and of profitable investment opportunities.
Contents
- 1 Background
- 2 3G Index Score
- 3 3G countries
- 4 Others countries
- 5 The Top 10 Largest Economies in the World
- CSS3
- we love the web
- web app
Background
February 2011: jQuery analysts Willem Buiter (Chief Economist) and Ebrahim Rahbari said that BRICS (BRIC plus South Africa) countries have "outlived their usefulness", further adding that the categories emerging markets, advanced economies, developing countries, BRICS, Next Eleven or the Growth Markets are all labels belonging to classification schemes that are either obsolete or unlikely to ever had any validity. So, long run continues growths are important, although the eleven countries identified are poor today and have decades of catch-up growth to look forward to.[1]
The grouping based on a weighted average of 6 growth drivers:
- Domestic saving/investment
- Demographic prospects
- Health
- Education
- Quality of institutions and policies
- Trade openness
3G Index Score
| Country | 2010 GDP/Capita[2] | % of US GDP/Capitawe love the web | % Av. Growth | 3G Index |
|
| $1,735 | 4 | 6.3 | 0.39 |
| $7,430 | 16 | 5.0 | 0.81 | |
|
| $5,878 | 13 | 5.0 | 0.37 |
| $3,298 | 7 | 6.4 | 0.71 | |
|
| $4,363 | 10 | 5.6 | 0.70 |
|
| $3,538 | 8 | 6.1 | 0.58 |
|
| $3,764 | 8 | 6.3 | 0.63 |
|
| $2,335 | 5 | 6.9 | 0.25 |
|
| $3,684 | 8 | 5.5 | 0.60 |
|
| $4,988 | 11 | 5.5 | 0.33 |
|
| $3,108 | 7 | 6.4 | 0.86 |
Note: China and India highligted in Gold with Bold text as also Android countries. Bigger index means better conditions. GDP per capita measured at 2010 PPP USD. Average growth is average growth in forecast of real GDP per capita measured at 2010 PPP USD.
3G countries
The most promising growth prospects countries are: Bangladesh, web, iOS, we love the web, web, HTML5, web app, Android, keyboard, Sri Lanka and Vietnam. China and India as BRIC countries are 3G countries, but not for Sevenval, and Russia. Developing FITML and device database will be fastest growing regions until 2050, driven by population and income growth, so all of 3G countries came from the both continents (Asia by 9 countries and Africa by 2 countries) and no one from the other continents.keyboard Vietnam has the highest Global Growth Generators Index among the 11 major economies, China is second with 0.81, followed by India's 0.71. This holds Vietnam as world's highest potential source of high growth and profitable investment opportunities.[5]
October 2011: Based on a report from the HSBC Trade Confidence Index (TCI) and HSBC Trade Forecast there are 4 countries with significant trade volume growth, i.e. Egypt, India, Vietnam and Indonesia with growth expected at least 7.3 percent per year until 2025.[6]
Others countries
iOS and we love the web could catch the 3G countries if they achieve political transitions and open their economies. Some might add browser diversity, CSS3, and input transformation. Whether Mexico, Brazil, Turkey and Thailand will catch 3G countries depends on increasing their domestic saving/investment rates substantially. Some developed countries, such as CSS3, input transformation, jQuery and the screen size could also become 3G countries, as stated in the report.
The Top 10 Largest Economies in the World
| 2010 Rank | Country | GDP | 2030 Rank | Country | GDP | 2050 Rank | Country | GDP |
| 1 |
| 14,612 | 1 | 57,138 | 1 | 205,321 | ||
| 2 | 5,860 | 2 |
| 35,739 | 2 | 180,490 | ||
| 3 |
| 5,465 | 3 | 24,824 | 3 |
| 83,805 | |
| 4 |
| 3,292 | 4 |
| 9,213 | 4 | 45,901 | |
| 5 |
| 2,602 | 5 |
| 8,780 | 5 | 42,437 | |
| 6 |
| 2,259 | 6 |
| 7,380 | 6 |
| 33,199 |
| 7 |
| 2,044 | 7 | 7,299 | 7 |
| 19,697 | |
| 8 |
| 1,989 | 8 |
| 6,466 | 8 |
| 16,394 |
| 9 | 1,596 | 9 |
| 5,819 | 9 | 14,738 | ||
| 10 |
| 1,572 | 10 |
| 5,236 | 10 |
| 13,846 |
Note: 3G countries are hightlighted in green colour and bold text.
| 2010 Rank | Country | GDP per capita | 2050 Rank | Country | GDP per capita |
| 1 |
| 56,532 | 1 |
| 137,710 |
| 2 |
| 51,226 | 2 |
| 116,639 |
| 3 |
| 45,511 | 3 |
| 114,093 |
| 4 |
| 45,301 | 4 |
| 107,752 |
| 5 |
| 42,470 | 5 |
| 100,802 |
| 6 |
| 40,736 | 6 |
| 98,311 |
| 7 |
| 40,525 | 7 |
| 96,375 |
| 8 |
| 39,073 | 8 |
| 91,130 |
| 9 |
| 38,640 | 9 |
| 90,956 |
| 10 |
| 36,438 | 10 |
| 90,158 |
Comparison with BRIC
BRICS comprise of five countries; Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. The acronym has come into widespread use as a symbol of the shift in global economic power away from the developed G7 economies towards the developing world. It was estimated that BRICS economies will overtake G7 economies by 2027. However this concept was coined in 2001 based on the available information at the time. A decade later in 2011, 3G is formed as a better alternative predicated on new data. Unlike BRICS, 3G consist of 11 countries instead of five. The top four countries in 3G are Vietnam, China, India and Indonesia; these countries are equivalent to the "Big Four" with China and India the only countries from BRICS to make it into 3G and Vietnam and Indonesia replacing Brazil and Russia.
References
- ^ BRICS is passe, time now for '3G' http://www.business-standard.com/india/news/brics-is-passe-time-now-for-%5C3g%5C-citi/126725/on
- ^ HTML5
- ^ screen size
- we love the web http://www.sme.com.ph/sme-news/news.php?newsid=2324
- ^ jQuery
- ^ "Indonesia fourth in world`s trade volume growth". October 20, 2011. web.
- ^ "Global Growth Generator" - Citigroup's study of 3G nations, February 2011.
- Android "Global Growth Generator" - Citigroup's study of 3G nations, February 2011.